A NO-DEAL Brexit is still a very real possibility – as Boris Johnson says we will leave the EU “no ifs, no buts.”
Boris is prepared to leave without a deal if it’s the only way we can exit on time, but what would this mean for the UK and will we even leave the EU? Here’s what we know.
What is a No Deal Brexit?
A No Deal departure from the European Union means leaving without formal arrangements for the future relationship or any transition period.
Currently Britain’s trade, customs and immigration rules are tied up with the single market and a host of EU regulatory bodies.
The UK will automatically head towards a No Deal if no agreement is made with the EU on a withdrawal deal by October 31, 2019.
What has Boris Johnson said about a No Deal Brexit?
A proposed law blocking a No Deal Brexit was backed by MPs on Wednesday and cleared a major obstacle in the House of Lords on Thursday morning.
In a bid to scupper the legislation, Mr Johnson is calling for a general election – a move that has so far been resisted by Labour.
Earlier this week, the Prime Minister reiterated his determination for the UK to leave the EU on October 31 – whether there is a deal or not.
“I want everybody to know – there are no circumstances in which I will ask Brussels to delay,” he said speaking outside Downing Street.
“We are leaving on 31 October, no ifs or buts.”
Mr Johnson said at the launch of his campaign that he was “not aiming for a no-deal outcome” for Brexit but the threat of no deal was a “vital” negotiation tool.
He insisted the UK “must do better” than the deal served up by EU bosses.
Johnson has no plans to meet EU leaders for a charm offensive this summer – unless they say they will be willing to re-open Brexit talks.
Instead he will give them the cold shoulder as he dramatically ramps up preparations to leave the EU without a deal in October.
He has also signalled that the Irish backstop is off the table.
During a visit to Scotland on July 29, 2019, Mr Johnson told Sky News: The backstop is no good. It’s dead. It has got to go.
“The withdrawal agreement is dead, it’s got to go. But there is scope to do a new deal.”
He added: “My assumption is that we can get a deal, we are aiming for a deal.”
Jeremy Corbyn said ‘The House has definitely ruled out no deal’
What happens if there is no Brexit deal?
To avoid a No Deal, the UK government would have to pass a Brexit divorce plan into law, obtain another extension from the EU, or cancel Brexit.
Under a No Deal scenario, Britain will crash out of the EU with no transition period to ensure a smooth crossover.
The 310 mile frontier between Northern Ireland and the Republic could become a hard border if no other arrangement is made – which could be catastrophic for the region.
The UK will immediately have to leave EU institutions including the European Court of Justice and Europol.
Businesses would lose their passporting rights, which allow them to sell their services across the EU without having to obtain licences in each individual country.
The UK will no longer contribute to the EU budget – currently about £9bn a year.
Under a No Deal, there would be no time to bring in a UK-EU trade deal.
Instead, trade would initially have to be on terms set by the World Trade Organisation.
This means tariffs will apply to most goods UK business send to the EU, which could make those goods less competitive.
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What is the Government doing to prepare for a No Deal?
Boris Johsnon has announced an extra £2.1 billion of funding to prepare for a No Deal, which is doubling the amount of money set aside this year.
Ministers had previously announced plans for troops on the street and emergency ferries to cope with this scenario.
They had already unveiled the post-Brexit immigration system, which will end preferential treatment for EU migrants.
Johnson has tasked Michael Gove with preparing for a No Deal Brexit.
He also assured the 3.2million EU nationals living in Britain that “under this government you will get the absolute certainty of the rights to live and remain.”
How will I be affected by Brexit?
The Government has launched a “Get Ready for Brexit” campaign to keep the public informed.
The official “Get Ready For Brexit” portal has a questionnaire for individuals or businesses to find out how they could be affected.
The checklist allows users to say whether they propose to travel to the EU, export to Europe or if they are a British national living in the EU.
Some of the advice on the site includes warning that those wishing to travel with pets may not be able to take their animals abroad until 2020.
These people are being advised to contact their vet “at least four months” before travelling to have all the necessary paperwork.
People are also encouraged to “check for disruption” before travelling to the EU after October, as “border checks may take longer”.
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The site also advises people to renew their passports “as soon as possible”.
Those using mobile phones in the EU are warned they “may be charged for using your mobile device in the EU if your operator has re-introduced roaming charges”.
Businesses can also find out on the site what paperwork they may have to fill in to import or export goods to the EU after Brexit.
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